July 9, 2018 | By Hank Cunningham
Given the strong fundamentals for the U.S. economy and the accompanying rise in inflation, ten-year yields should move above 3% soon, with a year-end target of 3.25% a distinct possibility.
The Federal Reserve and the Bank of Canada will continue to withdraw accommodation at a measured pace and thus will move their respective key short-term rates ever closer to “normal.”
Overhanging the bond market is the possible detriment to global growth arising from the tussle over tariffs. Neither the Fed nor the Bank of Canada has made any downgrades thus far to their respective forecasts.
Credit markets have displayed some nervousness understandably but, overall, they remain well-behaved.